SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
53.94% ( 2.3) | 20.49% ( -0.26) | 25.56% ( -2.04) |
| Both teams to score 68.27% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.62% ( -0.55) | 29.37% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.57% ( -0.68) | 50.43% ( 0.68) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.74% ( 0.45) | 11.25% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.17% ( 0.97) | 35.83% ( -0.97) |
| Albirex Niigata Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( -1.59) | 23.06% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.1% ( -2.38) | 56.9% ( 2.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.41)1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.37)4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.11)4-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.95% | 1-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.97% Total : 25.56% |
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