SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 11.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
71.93% ( 0.08) | 16.96% ( -0.03) | 11.1% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.56% ( 0.01) | 38.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.27% ( 0.01) | 60.72% ( -0.01) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.6% ( 0.02) | 9.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.38% ( 0.05) | 31.61% ( -0.05) |
| Shonan Bellmare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.67% ( -0.09) | 44.32% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.61% ( -0.07) | 80.38% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
| 2-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.96% Total : 71.92% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 16.96% | 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 11.1% |
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