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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 2, 2023 at 11am UK
Nissan Stadium

Yokohama
4 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Matsubara (5'), Lopes (10', 51'), Uenaka (77')
Inoue (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Machino (75' pen.)
Ishihara (15'), Oiwa (45+2'), Machino (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Yokohama
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, June 28 at 11.30am in J1 League

We said: Yokohama F Marinos 3-0 Shonan Bellmare

We can not see beyond a routine victory for the hosts, who have benefitted from having a week between fixtures in contrast to the visitors, who fell to yet another defeat on Wednesday. Ultimately, there are 27 points between these two teams for a reason, with the difference in quality between them surely set to play out at the Nissan Stadium on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Yokohama F MarinosDrawShonan Bellmare
71.93% (0.079000000000008 0.08) 16.96% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 11.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.56% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.27% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)60.72% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (0.019000000000005 0.02)9.39% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (0.049000000000007 0.05)31.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.67% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)44.32% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.61% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)80.38% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Yokohama F Marinos 71.92%
    Shonan Bellmare 11.1%
    Draw 16.96%
Yokohama F MarinosDrawShonan Bellmare
2-0 @ 11.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.18% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 5.43% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.57% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 71.92%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 16.96%
0-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 11.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Yokohama
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-3 Reysol
Saturday, June 10 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-3 Yokohama
Saturday, June 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-2 Yokohama
Saturday, May 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-1 Yokohama
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, June 28 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-6 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, June 11 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, May 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Cerezo
Saturday, May 20 at 7am in J1 League


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