Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
30.67% ( 0.39)	29.64% ( -0.17)	39.68% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 42.4% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.52% (

0.59)

64.47% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.47% (

0.41)

83.52% (

-0.42)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.12% (

0.63)

37.87% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.35% (

0.61)

74.64% (

-0.62)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

0.17)

31.75% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

0.19)

68.17% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 30.66%

Nagoya Grampus 39.67%

Draw 29.64%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.68% Total : 30.66%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.64%	0-1 @ 13.79% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 39.67%