Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 13.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.65%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
