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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Oct 8, 2022 at 7am UK
 

Urawa
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Junker (40'), Koizumi (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miyashiro (62')
Diego (15'), Shimakawa (69')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 4-1 Urawa
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawSagan Tosu
59.2% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 21.94% (0.012 0.01) 18.86% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.19% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)44.81% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)67.17% (0.012 0.01)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)14.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)43.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (0.025999999999996 0.03)37.59% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (0.026 0.03)74.37% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 59.2%
    Sagan Tosu 18.86%
    Draw 21.94%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.62%
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 59.2%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 18.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 4-1 Urawa
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, September 14 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 4-1 Reysol
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-2 Urawa
Saturday, September 3 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Jeonbuk 2-2 Urawa (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 11.30am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Kashima Antlers
Friday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League


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