SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Vitesse |
47.18% ( 0.88) | 23.4% ( 0.04) | 29.42% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 60.85% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% ( -0.7) | 40.49% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% ( -0.72) | 62.87% ( 0.72) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( 0.07) | 17.43% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.12% ( 0.13) | 47.88% ( -0.12) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( -0.94) | 26.3% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% ( -1.27) | 61.43% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.94% Total : 47.18% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.42% |
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