Almeria can take positives from their performance against Valencia last time out, but it was another defeat, and they are now welcoming a very strong Athletic side. Shocks can happen at this stage of the campaign, but we are finding it tough to see anything other than a routine victory for the visitors on Monday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
1.81) 
-2.52) 
