This is a tough match to call, as Real Sociedad will certainly be thinking about their trip to Paris next week. Osasuna will also be the fresher of the two sides, but Real Sociedad are the favourites, and we believe that their superior quality will allow them to secure a hugely important three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.01) 
