Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
19.23% | 22.58% | 58.18% |
Both teams to score 51.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% | 47.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.72% | 69.27% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.52% | 38.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.77% | 75.23% |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.14% | 15.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.93% | 45.07% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 5.83% 2-1 @ 5.13% 2-0 @ 2.78% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.23% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 0-2 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-4 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 1.08% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.26% Total : 58.17% |
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