Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
