After winning their last two home matches, we think that Athletic Bilbao will prove too strong for Getafe, who have struggled on their travels this season, having lost all three away games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.86%) and 3-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
2.05) 
-0.79) 
