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NL
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 10, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
RS

Napoli
1 - 1
Real Sociedad

Zielinski (35')
Mertens (25'), Lozano (41'), Fabian (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jose (90+2')
Zubimendi (39'), Le Normand (68'), Zubeldia (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 38.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.02%) and 3-2 (4.78%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawReal Sociedad
40.6%21.07%38.33%
Both teams to score 73.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.21%25.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.06%45.94%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.97%14.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.41%41.59%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13%14.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79%43.21%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 40.6%
    Real Sociedad 38.33%
    Draw 21.07%
NapoliDrawReal Sociedad
2-1 @ 7.67%
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-2 @ 4.78%
1-0 @ 4.1%
2-0 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 2.35%
4-3 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.29%
5-1 @ 0.97%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 40.6%
1-1 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 7.31%
3-3 @ 3.04%
0-0 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 4.73%
2-3 @ 4.64%
0-1 @ 3.98%
0-2 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 2.25%
2-4 @ 2.21%
3-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 38.33%

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