Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 38.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.02%) and 3-2 (4.78%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
