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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 28, 2021 at 6pm UK
San Mames
RV

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Real Valladolid

Morcillo (14'), Garcia (76')
Sancet (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Orellana (70'), Weissman (85')
El Yamiq (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
41.69%28.86%29.44%
Both teams to score 43.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.67%62.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.02%81.98%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49%65.51%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35%37.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58%74.42%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 41.68%
    Real Valladolid 29.44%
    Draw 28.86%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 13.55%
2-0 @ 8.28%
2-1 @ 8.09%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.03%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.86%
0-1 @ 10.84%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 29.44%

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