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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
OL

Atletico
2 - 1
Osasuna

Lodi (82'), Suarez (88')
Suarez (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Budimir (75')
Budimir (76'), Brasanac (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawOsasuna
57.85%25.29%16.87%
Both teams to score 40.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.79%60.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6%80.4%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1%20.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39%53.61%
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.91%49.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.98%84.01%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 57.84%
    Osasuna 16.87%
    Draw 25.28%
Atletico MadridDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 16.05%
2-0 @ 12.57%
2-1 @ 8.95%
3-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 4.67%
4-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 57.84%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.3%
1-2 @ 4.07%
0-2 @ 2.6%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 16.87%

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