Atletico
2 - 0
Barcelona

Lemar (23'), Suarez (44')
De Paul (45+1'), Koke (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gavi (20')

Build‑up

Pique admits Barcelona "are suffering" after latest defeat

Suarez denies mocking Koeman with celebration

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Barcelona
33.46%	28.89%	37.64%

Both teams to score 45.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.42%

61.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.58%

81.42%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74%

34.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04%

70.96%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49%

31.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1%

67.9%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 33.46%

Barcelona 37.64%

Draw 28.88%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.88%	0-1 @ 12.46% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.64%