Rayo are a team that like to get hold of the ball and pass it, which they did so impressively for long spells of last season. The visitors are more than capable of picking up a positive result in this match, but we are finding it very difficult to look past Barcelona, providing that they are able to register their new signings.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
