Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.1) 
0.17) 
