With a tough trip to Osasuna looming on the final day, Mallorca should see Sunday's game as an absolute must-win, and we fancy them to outfight a Rayo Vallecano team who have less to play for in comparison and will be wounded from a thrashing last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mallorca in this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
34.81% ( 0.95)	27.6% ( 0.12)	37.59% ( -1.07)

Both teams to score 48.96% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.22% (

-0.37)

56.78% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.28% (

-0.29)

77.72% (

0.3)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11% (

0.43)

30.89% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.83% (

0.51)

67.17% (

-0.5)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84% (

-0.8)

29.16% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.9% (

-1)

65.09% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 34.81%

Rayo Vallecano 37.59%

Draw 27.6%

Mallorca	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.81%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.59%