Rayo's two recent victories will have handed them a lot of confidence, and they will fancy their chances of picking up another positive result here. Real Sociedad have not found it easy to win on their travels in the league this term, and we are backing an entertaining draw this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
