Celta will certainly be the fresher of the two sides entering this match, and they will fancy their chances of making it a difficult game for the hosts. Real Betis have generally been quite strong at home this term, though, picking up 17 points from nine matches, and Pellegrini's side will be desperate to bounce back from their loss to Barcelona, so we have settled on a low-scoring home success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
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