Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Real Betis |
29.23% ( -0.18) | 25.69% ( 0.01) | 45.08% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% ( -0.13) | 50.77% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% ( -0.12) | 72.66% ( 0.12) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.35% ( -0.2) | 31.65% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.93% ( -0.23) | 68.07% ( 0.23) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.52% ( 0.03) | 22.48% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.97% ( 0.04) | 56.03% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Real Betis |
1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.23% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.08% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: