SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Real Betis |
29.23% ( -0.18) | 25.69% ( 0.01) | 45.08% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% ( -0.13) | 50.77% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% ( -0.12) | 72.66% ( 0.12) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( -0.2) | 31.65% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.93% ( -0.23) | 68.07% ( 0.23) |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 0.03) | 22.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.97% ( 0.04) | 56.03% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Real Betis |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.23% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.08% |
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