SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 0-3 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
10.61% ( 0.11) | 16.87% ( 0.09) | 72.51% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.94% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.53% ( -0.09) | 39.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.19% ( -0.09) | 61.81% ( 0.09) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.09% ( 0.15) | 45.91% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.35% ( 0.11) | 81.65% ( -0.11) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.48% ( -0.07) | 9.52% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.09% ( -0.16) | 31.91% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.61% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 16.87% | 0-2 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 9.48% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.69% 0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.73% Total : 72.5% |
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