Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 0-3 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.19) 
