Valencia have actually won four of their last five La Liga matches against Girona, including a 1-0 success in the reverse game earlier this season, but we are finding it difficult to back Los Che due to their away struggles this term. Girona have drawn six times in the league this term, and we are backing another stalemate here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.38) 
