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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
CL

Sevilla
1 - 0
Cadiz

Rakitic (89' pen.)
Lamela (33'), Sampaoli (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Espino (34'), Sobrino (45'), Alejo (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Elche
Monday, January 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Cadiz

This is such a difficult match to call for a number of reasons. On paper, Sevilla are the favourites, but they have really struggled this season, and their home form has been so disappointing. Cadiz are also not losing at the moment, but we just have a feeling that Sevilla could navigate their way to a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.

Result
SevillaDrawCadiz
57.9% (0.077000000000005 0.08) 23.72% (0.106 0.11) 18.38% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 46.92% (-0.62 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (-0.66 -0.66)52.75% (0.656 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (-0.569 -0.57)74.38% (0.56400000000001 0.56)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (-0.218 -0.22)18% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (-0.37 -0.37)48.86% (0.365 0.37)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.22% (-0.605 -0.6)42.78% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.89% (-0.517 -0.52)79.1% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 57.9%
    Cadiz 18.38%
    Draw 23.71%
SevillaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 11.32% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.47% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.062 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Getafe
Sunday, January 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Linares 0-5 Sevilla
Wednesday, January 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla
Friday, December 30 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Torremolinos 0-3 Sevilla
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Elche
Monday, January 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Cadiz
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Almeria
Friday, December 30 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Roma 0-3 Cadiz
Friday, December 16 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cadiz 3-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 14 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cadiz 4-2 Man Utd
Wednesday, December 7 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1


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