Barcelona
3 - 1
Valencia

Fati (13'), Depay (41' pen.), Coutinho (85')
Gavi (20'), Busquets (32')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gaya (5')
Gaya (39'), Foulquier (63'), Gomez (82')

Build‑up

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Valencia
66.81%	19.56%	13.64%

Both teams to score 49.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.03%

43.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64%

66.36%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.77%

12.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.06%

37.94%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.24%

43.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.08%

79.93%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 66.79%

Valencia 13.64%

Draw 19.56%

Barcelona	Draw	Valencia
2-0 @ 11.81% 1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 6.84% 4-0 @ 4.35% 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.83% 5-0 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.28% Total : 66.79%	1-1 @ 9.3% 0-0 @ 5.35% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.56%	0-1 @ 4.43% 1-2 @ 3.84% 0-2 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.11% 1-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.37% Total : 13.64%