SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 7.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
78.24% ( 0.25) | 14.03% ( 0.03) | 7.73% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.63% ( -1.32) | 35.37% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.6% ( -1.48) | 57.4% ( 1.47) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.73% ( -0.24) | 7.27% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.66% ( -0.63) | 26.34% ( 0.63) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.73% ( -1.64) | 49.27% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.85% ( -1.19) | 84.15% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 2-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.5) 3-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.31)1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.5)2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.98% Total : 78.22% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.72% Total : 14.03% | 0-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.73% |
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