Barcelona will be fired up to return to winning ways following the disappointment of the result against Inter, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a home success. Xavi's side have been excellent in the league this term and should have too much for their opponents in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 7.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
0.25) 
-0.28) 
