Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
