Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.
