We said: Elche 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Both teams will view this match as the perfect chance to return to winning ways, but we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Elche have shared the points on five occasions at home this term, while Rayo have recorded just one away victory, so we believe that a stalemate will occur at Estadio Manuel MartÃnez Valero.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
