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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2021 at 9pm UK
San Mames
RV

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Ciss (33' og.)
Nunez (16'), Muniain (56'), Martinez (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Garcia (5'), Falcao (90+6')
Catena (7'), Guardiola (42'), Maras (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawRayo Vallecano
40.06%29.87%30.06%
Both teams to score 41.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.68%65.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.89%84.11%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.41%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.17%38.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.44%75.56%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 40.06%
    Rayo Vallecano 30.05%
    Draw 29.87%
Athletic BilbaoDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.15%
2-0 @ 8.07%
2-1 @ 7.64%
3-0 @ 3.07%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 12.4%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.87%
0-1 @ 11.73%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 30.05%

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