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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 at 1pm UK
Estadi Cornellà-El Prat
AM

Espanyol
1 - 2
Atletico

de Tomas (40')
Moreno Peris (90+6'), Nico (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carrasco (79'), Lemar (90+9')
Hermoso (31'), Kondogbia (82'), Carrasco (90+8'), Felix (90+11')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawAtletico Madrid
29.93%27.44%42.63%
Both teams to score 48.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.75%57.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9%78.09%
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48%34.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76%71.23%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44%26.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23%61.77%
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 29.93%
    Atletico Madrid 42.63%
    Draw 27.43%
EspanyolDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 12.15%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 8.06%
1-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 42.63%

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