SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
19.93% ( -0.6) | 25.2% ( -0.05) | 54.87% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.67% ( -0.46) | 56.33% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% ( -0.37) | 77.36% ( 0.37) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% ( -0.92) | 43.1% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.62% ( -0.78) | 79.37% ( 0.78) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( 0.08) | 20.54% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.95% ( 0.13) | 53.05% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.93% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 14.01% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 11.08% ( 0.24)1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.85% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 54.86% |
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