Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
-0.24) 
0.46) 
