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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
E

Girona
2 - 0
Elche

Castellanos (45'), Romeu (70')
Castellanos (17'), Bueno (42'), Romeu (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Milla (22'), Boye (57'), Gumbau (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 0-0 Girona
Monday, April 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Elche
Saturday, April 8 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-0 Elche

Following Monday's performance at Camp Nou, we expect in-form Girona to make light work of struggling Elche, with the hosts preventing the visitors from finding the back of the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Girona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Girona.

Result
GironaDrawElche
62.76% (0.155 0.16) 22.33% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 14.91% (-0.203 -0.2)
Both teams to score 44.08% (-0.582 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (-0.532 -0.53)52.82% (0.531 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-0.456 -0.46)74.44% (0.456 0.46)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (-0.131 -0.13)16.31% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (-0.236 -0.24)45.9% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.67% (-0.612 -0.61)47.32% (0.611 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.27% (-0.461 -0.46)82.73% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Girona 62.76%
    Elche 14.91%
    Draw 22.33%
GironaDrawElche
1-0 @ 13.99% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 12.69% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.67% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 62.76%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 14.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 0-0 Girona
Monday, April 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Espanyol
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Girona
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 0-1 Atletico
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 3-2 Girona
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Girona
Sunday, February 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Elche
Saturday, April 8 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-4 Barcelona
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Elche
Sunday, March 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Valladolid
Saturday, March 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Elche
Saturday, March 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 2-3 Betis
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga


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