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Supercopa de Espana | Semi-Finals
Jan 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
VL

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Valencia

Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties
Benzema (39' pen.)
Camavinga (28'), Nacho (109')
FT
(aet)
Lino (46')
Kluivert (31'), Comert (38'), Cavani (92'), Almeida (99')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 7 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Cadiz
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.77%).

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
63.93% (0.256 0.26) 20.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 15.59% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.31% (-0.337 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)43.94% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)66.33% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)13.05% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.38% (0.024999999999999 0.02)39.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.01% (-0.398 -0.4)40.99% (0.395 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (-0.357 -0.36)77.54% (0.355 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 63.93%
    Valencia 15.6%
    Draw 20.47%
Real MadridDrawValencia
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.83% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 63.93%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.33% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 7 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cacereno 0-1 Real Madrid
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valladolid 0-2 Real Madrid
Friday, December 30 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Cadiz
Thursday, November 10 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Real Madrid
Monday, November 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-1 Celtic
Wednesday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Cadiz
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: La Nucia 0-3 Valencia
Tuesday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 31 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Valencia 3-0 Betis
Thursday, November 10 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Valencia
Sunday, November 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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