Granada are not a team to be underestimated, and it would not be a surprise to see them claim a positive result on Monday night. Atletico are difficult to back against on home soil, though, and we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to all three points in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
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