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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Reale Arena
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Real Sociedad
5 - 3
Granada

Kubo (9', 44'), Zubimendi (59'), Barrenetxea (67'), Bosch (76' og.)
Oyarzabal (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Le Normand (35' og.), Boye (83'), Zaragoza (90+9')
Miquel (21'), Boye (38'), Ruiz (53'), Diaz (54'), Zaragoza (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 3-2 Mallorca
Saturday, August 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Granada

Real Sociedad are due a win, and we are expecting that to happen this weekend. Granada are capable of making it a very uncomfortable match, but home advantage should allow the Basque outfit to navigate their way to an important three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawGranada
47.51% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 27.58% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 24.91% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 44.48% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.77% (0.154 0.15)60.23% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.117 0.12)80.41% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (0.055000000000007 0.06)25.46% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (0.075000000000003 0.08)60.29% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.67% (0.148 0.15)40.32% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.05% (0.132 0.13)76.95% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 47.51%
    Granada 24.91%
    Draw 27.56%
Real SociedadDrawGranada
1-0 @ 14.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 24.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-0 Real Sociedad
Friday, August 25 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Girona
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Real Sociedad
Thursday, August 3 at 2am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 3-2 Mallorca
Saturday, August 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, August 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Granada
Monday, August 14 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 2-0 Leganes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 1-3 Granada
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Granada 2-0 Lugo
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division


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