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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
GL

Valencia
1 - 0
Granada

Pepelu (45+7' pen.)
Guerra (51'), Paulista (58'), Lopez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gumbau (12'), Sanchez (40'), Torrente (45+6'), Villar (78'), Zaragoza (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: UD Logrones 0-2 Valencia
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Valencia 2-1 Granada

Granada have not had too many problems finding the back of the net this season, scoring 17 times, with only six sides scoring more in La Liga in 2023-24. Lopez's side are conceding at an alarming rate, though, and we are expecting an in-form Valencia to shade this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
ValenciaDrawGranada
48.61% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.65% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.74% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.8% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (0.141 0.14)57.17% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (0.113 0.11)78.03% (-0.114 -0.11)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.075000000000003 0.08)23.58% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (0.107 0.11)57.65% (-0.108 -0.11)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (0.086999999999996 0.09)38.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.49% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 48.6%
    Granada 24.74%
    Draw 26.65%
ValenciaDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.6%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 24.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-2 Valencia
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Valencia
Sunday, October 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Cadiz
Monday, October 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 3-0 Valencia
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Granada 2-3 Villarreal
Monday, October 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Granada
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 2-2 Barcelona
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 3-3 Granada
Sunday, October 1 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Betis
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga


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