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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
GL

Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Granada

Strand Larsen (20')
Strand Larsen (22'), Vazquez (29'), Guaita (66'), Dotor (70'), Ristic (75'), Dominguez (84')
Aspas (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gumbau (90+3'), Diedhiou (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Granada

This is a huge match at the bottom of the table, and it will be fascinating to see what develops this weekend. It would have been easy to pick another draw here, but we just have a feeling that Celta will be able to navigate their way to what would be a huge three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.

Result
Celta VigoDrawGranada
54.47% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06) 24.85% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 20.68% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.21% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)54.23% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)75.63% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)19.87% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)51.98% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.92% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)41.07% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.62% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 54.46%
    Granada 20.68%
    Draw 24.85%
Celta VigoDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 54.46%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 20.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sestao River 1-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, December 7 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Cadiz
Monday, December 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, November 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-3 Celta Vigo
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Granada
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 3-1 Granada
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Granada
Sunday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey


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