Sevilla are in desperate need of the three points, as they bid to retain their spot in the top four, and we are expecting Lopetegui's side to triumph on Friday evening. Granada have only won twice on their travels in the league this term, while Sevilla's home record in 2021-22 has been excellent.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
