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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
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Granada
1 - 1
Getafe

Villar (45+4')
Boye (39'), Neva (56'), Zaragoza (72'), Manafa (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mayoral (2')
Alena (41'), Rodriguez (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Granada
Sunday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Cadiz
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 2-2 Getafe

This is a really tough game to call, and it would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win here. We fancy the draw, though, as two of the last three meetings between these two teams have finished level, while Getafe have been the draw specialists in Spain's top flight this season alongside Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GranadaDrawGetafe
47.34% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 26.91% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 25.75% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.93% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.57% (-0.204 -0.2)57.43% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.76% (-0.162 -0.16)78.24% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)24.29% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-0.105 -0.1)58.66% (0.102 0.1)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (-0.182 -0.18)38.01% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (-0.174 -0.17)74.78% (0.17200000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Granada 47.34%
    Getafe 25.75%
    Draw 26.9%
GranadaDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 13.06% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.23% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 25.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Granada
Sunday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Granada 2-3 Villarreal
Monday, October 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Granada
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 2-2 Barcelona
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 3-3 Granada
Sunday, October 1 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Cadiz
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Tardienta 0-12 Getafe
Wednesday, November 1 at 5.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Betis
Saturday, October 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Getafe
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Villarreal
Saturday, September 30 at 1pm in La Liga


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