SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
49.89% ( 1.26) | 24.2% ( -0.25) | 25.91% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( 0.34) | 46.61% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( 0.32) | 68.88% ( -0.32) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( 0.64) | 18.73% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.9% ( 1.06) | 50.1% ( -1.06) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( -0.61) | 32.01% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( -0.7) | 68.48% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.91% |
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