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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
35.25% ( 0.51) | 24.89% ( 0.11) | 39.87% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% ( -0.43) | 45.29% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( -0.41) | 67.63% ( 0.4) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.09) | 25.07% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.24% ( 0.13) | 59.75% ( -0.13) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0.5) | 22.62% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( -0.74) | 56.23% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.87% |
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