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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
LP

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 2
Las Palmas


Balliu (17'), Isi (69'), Garcia (76')
Garcia (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moleiro (35'), Munoz (83')
Valles (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Las Palmas

This is a really tough match to call, and there is not an awful lot between the sides when it comes to quality. Both managers would likely view a point as a positive result, and we are struggling to back either with any real conference, therefore settling on a low-scoring draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawLas Palmas
39.34% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 27.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 33.57% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.32% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)54.98% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)76.26% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)27.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)62.73% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)30.79% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)67.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 39.33%
    Las Palmas 33.57%
    Draw 27.09%
Rayo VallecanoDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.83% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Huesca 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, January 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Tuesday, January 2 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Valencia
Tuesday, December 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 3-0 Villarreal
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Tenerife 2-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, January 7 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Barcelona
Thursday, January 4 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in La Liga


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