SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
70.12% ( 0.03) | 17.27% ( -0.01) | 12.62% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.32% ( -0.02) | 35.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.25% ( -0.03) | 57.75% ( 0.03) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( 0) | 9.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.07% ( 0) | 30.93% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.03% ( -0.05) | 39.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.37% ( -0.05) | 76.63% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
| 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 70.12% | 1-1 @ 8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.27% | 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 12.62% |
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