SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 13.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.44%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.1%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Real Sociedad |
13.19% ( -0.26) | 24.33% ( -0.32) | 62.48% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 35.45% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.67% ( 0.58) | 62.33% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.02% ( 0.42) | 81.98% ( -0.42) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.28% ( -0.05) | 55.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.69% ( -0.03) | 88.31% ( 0.03) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.07% ( 0.45) | 19.93% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.92% ( 0.73) | 52.07% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.73% Total : 13.19% | 0-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.24) 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 17.91% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 14.44% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 7.77% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.07% Total : 62.48% |
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