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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
RS

Leganes
2 - 3
Real Sociedad

Munoz (60', 70')
Merino (21'), Bustinza (32'), Garces (86'), Quintilla (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Isak (8'), Oyarzabal (43', 74' pen.)

We said: Leganes 0-2 Real Sociedad

Leganes actually won the most recent encounter between these two sides back in February 2020, but that is a result that appears unlikely to be repeated on this occasion. Whilst La Real's recent league form has been inconsistent, they have been performing very well in cup competitions and will surely have too much for a struggling second-tier team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 45.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
LeganesDrawReal Sociedad
26.47%27.66%45.87%
Both teams to score 45.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.4%59.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06%79.93%
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41%38.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67%75.33%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02%25.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39%60.99%
Score Analysis
    Leganes 26.47%
    Real Sociedad 45.87%
    Draw 27.65%
LeganesDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 4.55%
3-1 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.44%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 26.47%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 13.51%
0-2 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-3 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.38%
1-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 45.87%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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