SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Barcelona |
35.64% ( -0.21) | 23.55% ( -0.06) | 40.81% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 62.96% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.15% ( 0.25) | 38.85% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.84% ( 0.26) | 61.16% ( -0.26) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( 0) | 21.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( 0) | 55.14% ( 0) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( 0.23) | 19.4% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% ( 0.37) | 51.22% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 40.81% |
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