SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Real Madrid |
18.45% ( -0.04) | 24.11% ( -0.03) | 57.44% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.94% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.87% ( 0.05) | 54.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( 0.05) | 75.54% ( -0.05) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.01) | 43.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.29% ( -0.01) | 79.71% ( 0.01) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( 0.05) | 18.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.08) | 50.02% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 18.45% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 13.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.43% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 57.43% |
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