Celta are more than capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Real Sociedad, but we are finding it difficult to back against a home success this weekend. The Basque outfit are having a strong campaign and should have too much quality for their opponents on Saturday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
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