SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Real Sociedad |
45.52% ( -0.08) | 28.1% ( 0.01) | 26.38% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.24% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.89% ( 0.02) | 61.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.92% ( 0.02) | 81.08% ( -0.01) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -0.03) | 26.85% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.84% ( -0.04) | 62.16% ( 0.04) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.49% ( 0.08) | 39.51% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.8% ( 0.07) | 76.2% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 13.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 26.38% |
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